Weather Blog: NOAA Launches National Rip Current Forecast Model

Harmless green dye illustrates where there is a rip current.

A new rip current forecast model is aimed at saving the lives of beach-goers around the country.

Posted: Apr 9, 2021 12:40 PM
Updated: Apr 9, 2021 12:54 PM

FORT WAYNE, Ind. (WFFT) —Rip currents account for over 80% of rescues performed by lifeguards.

A recent study indicates that over 100 deaths each year in the United States are due to rip currents.

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But, what is a rip current and what makes it so deadly?

A rip current or rip is a specific type of water current that can occur near beaches with breaking waves.

The current is strong, localized and narrow.

They typically form at breaks in sandbars, near jetties and piers.

What makes them so dangerous is that the current pulls you away from the shore into deeper water.

The speed of the current varies and even the strongest swimmer can drown from a rip current.

According to a release, NOAA is launching a national rip current forecast model.

It is aimed at saving the lives of beach-goers around the country and it includes the Great Lakes.

The new model can predict the hourly probability of a rip current up to six days out.

Impressive and fantastic!

This was made possible by the collaboration between NOAA’s National Ocean Service and National Weather Service.

The model leverages wave and water level information from the NWS’s Nearshore Wave Prediction System.

The forecast model also covers the east coast, Gulf Coast and portions of California, Hawaii, Guam and Puerto Rico.

Additional coastline coverage will be expanded in the future.

Rip current forecast for the Great Lakes will begin on May 20, 2021.

According to data collected by the Great Lakes Surf Rescue Project, 109 people drowned in the Great Lakes in 2020.

Of those 109 people, 56 drowned in Lake Michigan which broke the previous record of 49 reported in 2012.

This new forecast information will help with earlier predictions of rip currents and hopefully increase awareness and reduce the number of drownings.

According to the release, there will be further improvements with webcam imagery and artificial intelligence identification of rip currents.

This is only the beginning of rip current forecast that will hopefully save lives.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 750432

Reported Deaths: 13764
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1031991782
Lake556411007
Allen41662691
St. Joseph36974564
Hamilton36561417
Elkhart29390459
Tippecanoe22886225
Vanderburgh22549400
Porter19348325
Johnson18432388
Hendricks17608317
Clark13206193
Madison13139344
Vigo12608253
LaPorte12415221
Monroe12188175
Delaware10954198
Howard10285225
Kosciusko9619119
Hancock8562145
Bartholomew8164157
Warrick7856156
Floyd7781180
Grant7232179
Wayne7160201
Boone6939103
Morgan6746141
Dubois6214118
Marshall6208116
Cass6000109
Dearborn589578
Henry5895109
Noble580787
Jackson508975
Shelby500896
Lawrence4738122
Gibson444593
Clinton441455
Harrison441073
DeKalb439485
Montgomery436390
Whitley406343
Huntington402481
Steuben399759
Miami393169
Jasper387454
Knox375890
Putnam372160
Wabash360683
Ripley346970
Adams345355
Jefferson335785
White331553
Daviess3033100
Wells295181
Decatur289992
Greene286885
Fayette284864
Posey273835
LaGrange273072
Scott270156
Clay266448
Washington245234
Randolph244783
Jennings235349
Spencer234431
Starke227958
Fountain220348
Sullivan214343
Owen211658
Fulton202142
Jay200932
Carroll193420
Orange188155
Perry187137
Rush175826
Vermillion174644
Franklin170335
Tipton166146
Parke149316
Pike138234
Blackford136232
Pulaski120547
Newton113736
Brown104043
Crawford102316
Benton101414
Martin91615
Warren83815
Switzerland8118
Union72810
Ohio57811
Unassigned0420

Ohio Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 1108146

Reported Deaths: 20122
CountyCasesDeaths
Franklin1286421460
Cuyahoga1157382208
Hamilton813551248
Montgomery525311041
Summit48395999
Lucas43343818
Butler38951604
Stark33318929
Lorain25658504
Warren24580303
Mahoning22355603
Lake21166387
Clermont20111253
Delaware18841135
Licking16660222
Fairfield16570204
Trumbull16537482
Medina15603271
Greene15272247
Clark14233306
Wood13287198
Portage13242214
Allen11910239
Richland11601211
Miami10843224
Wayne9130222
Columbiana9029230
Muskingum8906135
Pickaway8658122
Tuscarawas8643248
Marion8641138
Erie8056164
Ashtabula7147179
Hancock6996132
Ross6943161
Geauga6834150
Scioto6534105
Belmont6155174
Union584549
Lawrence5726102
Jefferson5675158
Huron5544122
Sandusky5439125
Darke5415129
Seneca5347126
Washington5318109
Athens523660
Auglaize501887
Mercer487385
Shelby476595
Knox4570112
Madison444065
Ashland435597
Putnam4336103
Defiance432298
Fulton432072
Crawford4036110
Brown402461
Logan387577
Preble3848104
Clinton379166
Ottawa373581
Highland359665
Williams348078
Champaign344258
Guernsey324853
Jackson318154
Perry297350
Morrow291840
Fayette285450
Hardin274965
Henry273367
Holmes2699101
Coshocton268960
Van Wert247264
Adams243156
Pike242835
Gallia240750
Wyandot234556
Hocking220162
Carroll197148
Paulding176542
Meigs148240
Monroe136344
Noble136039
Harrison114138
Morgan109624
Vinton85517
Unassigned03
Fort Wayne
Partly Cloudy
74° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 74°
Angola
Partly Cloudy
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Hi: 84° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: °
Huntington
Partly Cloudy
71° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 71°
Decatur
Partly Cloudy
74° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 74°
Van Wert
Partly Cloudy
74° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 64°
Feels Like: 74°
Showers and storms are possible Saturday morning, but the chance of rain will stick around all day long.
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