These are the states with coronarvirus cases falling and rising the most

Morning news briefing from CNN on Friday, May 15.

Posted: May 15, 2020 8:31 PM
Updated: May 15, 2020 8:31 PM

The numbers of daily new reported coronavirus cases appear to be dropping in most states as the majority of the country takes steps to open their economies -- though there are plenty of caveats.

Below, we'll examine which states' daily rates are rising or falling the steepest in relation to each other. Because this involves ranking states, we've adjusted for population.

First, a word on how case rates may, or may not, be important. Some public health experts say declining case rates should be one guide for figuring when states should relax social distancing restrictions.

On the other hand, uneven testing rates should affect how states' positive case rates rise and fall. For example, case rates may rise as testing rates increase.

But even then, many public health experts say, states still aren't testing enough, so even if they've recently ramped it up, they still might not be capturing an accurate picture.

"I am not ready at all to breathe a sigh of relief," Dr. Jeanne Marrazzo, director of the division of infectious diseases at University of Alabama at Birmingham, told CNN's "New Day" on Friday about the apparent decline in some states' case rates.

One reason: "How many people are being tested? Are we getting a really accurate estimate?" she asked. And experts have warned of more waves ahead as social restrictions relax.

Having said that, here are the states with the largest changes in seven-day, average daily case rates over the past week.

Maps and charts: See daily new cases for each state in the past 14 days

3 states with cases falling fastest

NEW JERSEY

This appears to be relatively bright news for hard-hit New Jersey, second in the country only to New York for the number of total reported cases (143,600+) and deaths (10,100+).

New cases per 100,000 people dropped almost 38% this past week, from 25 cases per 100,000 to about 16.

The state has had one of the more strict and longest-enduring stay-at-home orders. One of the few nonessential things to open there were parks and golf courses. Nonessential construction and curbside retail pickup can reopen Monday, while ocean and lakefront beaches could reopen with limits on May 22.

Tracking coronavirus deaths

MISSOURI

New cases per 100,000 people dropped about 35% this past week, from nearly 4 cases per 100,000 to 2.6.

This state generally began allowing all businesses to reopen May 4, provided they could abide by certain social distancing guidelines. Indoor retail businesses must limit their number of customers to no more than 25% of normal capacity, and local communities can choose stricter rules if they choose.

IDAHO

New cases per 100,000 people dropped nearly 35% this past week, from roughly 1.6 cases per 100,000 to 1.1.

Idaho's stay-at-home order expired May 1, and most businesses were allowed to open, with restrictions for distancing and sanitation.

More will open soon: Starting Saturday, restaurants can open for dine-in with certain protocols. Indoor gyms, recreation facilities, hair salons and other close contact services also can open with restrictions.

A note of transparency: Vermont and Alaska technically belong on this list. They had the largest (54%) and third-largest (35%) declines in new cases per 100,000 people this past week.

But they already started with small amounts of new cases, and any change was going to look outsize. To highlight a state here, we required they started last week with at least roughly two new cases per 100,000. Vermont and Alaska had less than one.

3 states with cases rising fastest

SOUTH DAKOTA

New cases per 100,000 people jumped 134% this past week, from nearly seven cases per 100,000 to about 15.

The state reported an unusually high two-day spike in tests late last week, according to the COVID Tracking Project, though it's not clear to what extent that contributed to the spike.

State officials intend to intensify testing. Starting next week, all residents of nursing homes and assisted living facilities, as well as staff members, will be tested, state health department Secretary Kim Malsam-Rysdon said Thursday.

South Dakota has a relatively few 3,800 cases, but with less than 1 million people, it's in the country's top 20 states for cases per 100,000 people.

"We're watching (the virus) march further and further west to less populated states, and even less populated states are seeing a caseload," Maureen Miller, infectious disease epidemiologist at Columbia University, told "New Day" Friday, without specifically referring to South Dakota. "So that is how the wave works. It's going to bubble up in different places over time."

ARKANSAS

New cases per 100,000 people increased almost 50% this past week, from about two cases per 100,000 to roughly three.

The state started reopening some businesses May 4, and starting this week restaurants were allowed to let diners inside -- as long as they operate a a third of their normal capacity.

Waves of infection have been hitting the country at different times, said Marrazzo of UAB. New York may be declining because it was already very hard hit, "but if you go into a place that hasn't really experienced their upswing yet, you're going to see a very different pattern," she said, though she did not specifically address Arkansas.

MAINE

New cases per 100,000 people rose nearly 32% this past week, from 2.1 cases per 100,000 to 2.8.

Maine is under a stay-at-home order through at least May 31, though certain types of businesses have been reopening, starting May 1.

One to watch: Georgia

Georgia made some of the earliest and most extensive moves to loosen restrictions.

Gyms, fitness centers, bowling alleys, body art studios, hair and nail salons and massage therapists were able to reopen April 24, with certain rules. Other businesses followed later.

A shelter-in-place order ended April 30, except for "medically fragile and elderly Georgians," who generally must stay home until June 12.

The state's case rates have appeared steady, even three weeks after those first reopening steps.

This week, the state ranked near the middle of country's pack. Its reported cases decreased by about 6% this week -- from nearly seven cases per 100,000 to around six.

Maureen Miller, an infectious disease epidemiologist at Columbia University, said she still suspects that "cases are simmering right now," and it's still possible hospitalizations and deaths could increase in the next few weeks because of the loosened restrictions.

But there is "not the amount of testing that would be required to ensure that we know what's going on" in Georgia, she told "New Day" on Friday.

Just because businesses are allowed to open doesn't mean all are doing so, and "just because things are open doesn't mean (everyone) is going out," CNN Chief Medical Correspondent Dr. Sanjay Gupta said Friday, citing what he's seen where he lives in the Atlanta area.

"I think you just got to wait a little bit longer and make sure these trends continue," he said.

Gov. Brian Kemp said May 7 that the state had doubled its testing capacity from what it was weeks earlier. He said Thursday that testing was now available for all Georgians, regardless of whether they had symptoms, and that they could contact their local sate health department branch to get scheduled.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 51079

Reported Deaths: 2756
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion12019693
Lake5588248
Elkhart353959
Allen2939134
St. Joseph210669
Hamilton1691101
Cass16449
Hendricks1454100
Johnson1340118
Porter82638
Tippecanoe7709
Vanderburgh7276
Clark69544
Madison67464
LaPorte61628
Howard59858
Bartholomew59745
Kosciusko5754
Marshall5449
Noble51328
LaGrange4849
Boone48244
Jackson4783
Delaware47152
Hancock46736
Shelby45425
Floyd40644
Morgan34231
Monroe34028
Grant31826
Dubois3046
Henry30018
Montgomery29720
Clinton2903
White27410
Dearborn25823
Decatur25632
Lawrence25225
Vigo2528
Warrick25029
Harrison21722
Greene19432
Miami1932
Jennings17912
Putnam1738
DeKalb1694
Scott1649
Wayne1546
Daviess15017
Perry14710
Orange13723
Steuben1362
Jasper1352
Ripley1307
Franklin1278
Gibson1202
Wabash1162
Carroll1142
Fayette1067
Whitley1066
Starke1043
Newton10010
Huntington942
Jefferson862
Wells821
Randolph794
Fulton731
Knox710
Jay700
Washington681
Pulaski661
Clay645
Rush613
Posey570
Spencer541
Owen521
Benton510
Sullivan501
Adams491
Brown431
Blackford402
Fountain352
Crawford330
Switzerland320
Tipton321
Parke270
Martin260
Ohio230
Vermillion200
Warren151
Union140
Pike110
Unassigned0193

Ohio Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 64214

Reported Deaths: 3036
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Franklin11724445
Cuyahoga8979393
Hamilton6781207
Lucas2952305
Marion274539
Montgomery244035
Summit2327209
Pickaway222241
Mahoning1928239
Butler182147
Columbiana137860
Stark1214114
Lorain112069
Trumbull104578
Warren97725
Clark80010
Delaware69815
Fairfield66717
Tuscarawas60410
Lake58923
Medina58232
Belmont56922
Licking56812
Miami50631
Portage49259
Wood48851
Clermont4737
Ashtabula44744
Geauga42543
Wayne37253
Richland3715
Allen35641
Greene3439
Mercer29910
Erie27122
Holmes2595
Darke25626
Huron2402
Madison2169
Ottawa17324
Sandusky16015
Washington14620
Ross1443
Coshocton1423
Athens1391
Crawford1385
Putnam13715
Hardin12312
Morrow1201
Auglaize1094
Jefferson1092
Muskingum1001
Union931
Preble901
Monroe8917
Hancock861
Lawrence830
Guernsey823
Clinton811
Hocking809
Williams762
Shelby744
Logan711
Ashland672
Carroll673
Fulton670
Scioto670
Wyandot635
Brown611
Fayette550
Defiance533
Knox531
Champaign511
Highland501
Van Wert471
Perry441
Seneca412
Henry330
Paulding300
Jackson280
Pike280
Adams261
Vinton232
Gallia201
Noble140
Harrison131
Meigs130
Morgan110
Unassigned00
Fort Wayne
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 60°
Feels Like: 73°
Angola
Broken Clouds
72° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 72°
Huntington
Broken Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 73°
Decatur
Broken Clouds
70° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 60°
Feels Like: 70°
Van Wert
Broken Clouds
70° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 61°
Feels Like: 70°
Sunday starts wet, ends dry
WFFT Radar
WFFT Temperatures
WFFT National

Community Events