Health officials warn against Mother's Day gatherings while modeling projects more US deaths than expected

Three New York children have died of an inflammatory illness recently observed in dozens of New York children that could be linked to Covid-19, according to state health officials. CNN's Polo Sandoval has more.

Posted: May 11, 2020 12:01 AM
Updated: May 11, 2020 12:01 AM

If you love your mom, consider staying away from her this Mother's Day.

Health officials are warning Americans to avoid celebrating Mother's Day in big groups, saying physical distancing is still critical to reducing the spread of coronavirus.

All it takes is one infected person at a gathering to launch a new outbreak. In Pasadena, California, officials traced a cluster of coronavirus cases back to one person at a birthday party who was coughing and not wearing a face mask.

"Guests were also not wearing face coverings or practicing social distancing," the city of Pasadena posted on Facebook. "As a result, COVID-19 spread among attendees."

"The last thing you want to give mom or anyone else is a virus," said Lisa Derderian, a spokeswoman for the city. "Stay home, stay safe. We're going to go by the science."

Louisiana health officials suggested safe alternatives, like having a virtual brunch together.

For those still planning to see their mothers in person, "Resist the temptation to hug your mom and maintain six feet of separation," the Louisiana Department of Public Health said.

Older adults have the highest risk of severe complications or death from coronavirus. And the numbers of cases and deaths keep rising.

By Sunday, more than 1,320,000 people in the US have been infected, and more than 79,000 have died, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.

"We are telling everyone, see mom virtually today," Derderian told CNN. "As much as you feel guilt on the front end for not seeing her, it's better than feeling guilt on the back end over the possibility you were carrying Covid-19 and you give it to mom or grandma, and the consequences were they got sick, or worse, it was fatal."

'Explosive increases in mobility' leads to more projected deaths

A projection model cited by the White House now predicts thousands more deaths, largely due to "explosive increases in mobility in a number of states."

The model, from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, now forecasts 137,000 deaths in the United States by August, up from an earlier prediction of about 134,000.

IHME Director Dr. Christopher Murray said cell phone data shows Americans are moving more, suggesting more infections to come.

"We're seeing just explosive increases in mobility in a number of states that we expect will translate into more cases and deaths in 10 days from now," Murray told CBS' "Face the Nation" on Sunday.

"What's driving the change is, simply put, the rise in mobility," Murray said. "We're seeing in some states a 20 percentage point increase in just 10 days in mobility. And that will translate into more human contact, more transmission."

He said the top five states that have seen increased mobility are Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota and Georgia.

Other states have seen a 15-20 percentage point increase in mobility, according to an IHME press release: Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.

But as unemployment rates soar, governors are starting to reopen more businesses -- even though many have not yet met all of the White House's guidelines on when to safely do so.

Most states have eased restrictions. See where your state stands

And public health experts have said there's still not enough testing or contact tracing to safely reopen the country.

But no one will know the health effects of each state's reopening for weeks.

"It will be at least two to three weeks before we see an increase in the number of infections because it takes time for individuals to infect others and for them to display symptoms," said data scientist Youyang Gu, whose coronavirus projection model is cited by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

For those who might succumb to new infections, "around three weeks is the average time between infection to death," said Gu, citing studies from Italy and China.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, has said if measures are lifted too early, the country could see a rebound of the virus that could land the US "right back in the same boat that we were a few weeks ago."

Where each state stands on the reopening process

Top health officials are going into quarantine

Fauci is one of several top government and health officials who said they came in contact with an infected person at the White House.

Fauci, a key member of the White House coronavirus task force, told CNN he will start a "modified quarantine" after making a "low risk" contact with a White House staffer who tested positive for the virus.

While Fauci was not in close proximity to the person, he said he will spend the next two weeks working from home and wearing a mask. Fauci said he might go to his office, where he will be alone.

CDC Director Dr. Robert Redfield will self-quarantine for two weeks after he was also exposed to a person at the White House who tested positive for the virus, a CDC spokesperson told CNN.

And Dr. Stephen Hahn, commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration, will also go into quarantine after coming into contact with a person who tested positive for the virus, an FDA spokesman confirmed to CNN on Friday.

Officials didn't identify the infected person with whom Hahn or Redfield came into contact. But at least two people close to the president or vice president have tested positive for coronavirus.

The White House confirmed Vice President Mike Pence's press secretary Katie Miller tested positive on Friday. She was often in White House coronavirus task force meetings.

And last week, President Donald Trump learned one of his Oval Office valets tested positive for the virus.

Track the virus

An illness seen in children may be linked to virus

Federal officials and New York state officials are partnering to give other states information after the deaths of three youth that could be linked to the virus.

A teenager and two children under 8 years old died from an inflammatory illness observed in dozens of children in New York, state officials said.

That illness could be linked to the virus, they said.

"We were laboring under the impression young people were not affected by Covid-19," Gov. Andrew Cuomo said. "We're not so sure that that is the fact anymore."

Researchers still don't know whether coronavirus caused the syndrome. But this is under investigation, Cuomo said.

Many of the children tested positive for the virus or had its antibodies, Cuomo said. But they didn't always show symptoms common with Covid-19, such as respiratory distress.

"It's possible that these cases were coming in and were not diagnosed as related to Covid because they don't appear as Covid," Cuomo said.

State officials had previously warned that dozens of children in the state had been hospitalized with a condition doctors described as "pediatric multisystem inflammatory syndrome," and that it could be linked to coronavirus.

On Sunday, Cuomo said 85 cases were under investigation. The cases mainly involved toddlers to elementary-school-age children.

Many of the children had fever and symptoms similar to toxic shock syndrome and Kawasaki disease, the state said.

Kawasaki disease causes inflammation in the walls of blood vessels, including those that supply blood to the heart, which in rare cases can lead to deadly limitations in blood flow.

You asked, we're answering: Your top coronavirus questions

New rules for New York state nursing homes

Also in New York, the state with the highest numbers of coronavirus cases and deaths, Gov. Cuomo unveiled new rules for nursing homes -- which he called "ground zero" for Covid-19.

All nursing home staff must be tested diagnostically twice a week, Cuomo said. He also said hospitals cannot discharge a patient to a nursing home unless the patient tests negative for Covid-19.

And nursing homes can only take in residents if they have all the necessary resources to fully serve them, Cuomo said. If a nursing home cannot provide the appropriate level of care, they must transfer to another facility or contact the state health department.

Any nursing home that doesn't follow these new rules could lose its license.

"We have alternative facilities for nursing home patients, Covid or non-Covid," Cuomo said. "We created 40,000 hospital beds because we had to."

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 49575

Reported Deaths: 2739
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion11812690
Lake5337247
Elkhart343257
Allen2867133
St. Joseph202569
Cass16439
Hamilton1629101
Hendricks1439100
Johnson1306118
Porter78038
Tippecanoe7439
Clark67144
Madison66864
Vanderburgh6296
LaPorte59727
Bartholomew59245
Howard58258
Kosciusko5654
Marshall5217
Noble49128
LaGrange4829
Jackson4773
Delaware46052
Boone45944
Hancock45736
Shelby43425
Floyd39144
Morgan32831
Monroe31528
Grant30226
Montgomery29720
Henry29316
Dubois2906
Clinton2882
White26810
Decatur25532
Lawrence25125
Dearborn24723
Vigo2408
Warrick23229
Harrison21722
Greene19132
Miami1892
Jennings17912
Putnam1708
DeKalb1634
Scott1628
Daviess15017
Wayne1496
Perry1409
Orange13623
Steuben1332
Franklin1278
Jasper1252
Ripley1247
Wabash1152
Carroll1122
Fayette1037
Gibson1032
Newton9910
Whitley995
Starke963
Huntington822
Randolph804
Wells791
Jefferson782
Fulton731
Jay680
Washington671
Pulaski661
Knox650
Clay644
Rush603
Owen511
Adams491
Posey490
Benton480
Spencer461
Sullivan451
Brown421
Blackford392
Fountain332
Crawford320
Tipton311
Switzerland280
Parke240
Martin220
Ohio210
Vermillion170
Warren151
Union130
Pike110
Unassigned0193

Ohio Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 61331

Reported Deaths: 3006
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Franklin11122439
Cuyahoga8518383
Hamilton6396206
Lucas2859304
Marion273739
Montgomery228335
Summit2269209
Pickaway220641
Mahoning1885239
Butler172147
Columbiana132460
Stark1171114
Lorain107368
Trumbull101474
Warren91825
Clark78410
Delaware64515
Fairfield61417
Tuscarawas59010
Belmont55822
Lake55122
Medina54832
Licking53612
Miami48631
Portage47759
Wood46151
Ashtabula43844
Clermont4367
Geauga41543
Wayne36752
Richland3595
Allen33841
Greene3009
Mercer29410
Erie26022
Darke25326
Holmes2524
Huron2342
Madison2069
Ottawa16124
Sandusky14215
Washington14220
Crawford1375
Ross1363
Putnam13315
Coshocton1323
Hardin12312
Morrow1201
Auglaize1094
Jefferson952
Muskingum921
Union921
Athens911
Monroe8917
Hancock841
Preble811
Hocking798
Lawrence790
Guernsey763
Shelby724
Williams722
Clinton700
Logan661
Fulton650
Ashland621
Wyandot615
Carroll603
Brown591
Scioto560
Defiance543
Knox531
Fayette510
Highland471
Champaign461
Van Wert430
Perry401
Seneca362
Henry320
Jackson270
Paulding270
Pike270
Adams241
Vinton222
Gallia201
Noble130
Harrison121
Meigs120
Morgan110
Unassigned00
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